Whether we like it or not, the COVID-19 vaccine is right around the corner and it's going to have a big impact on the way we travel in 2021.
We've been following travel in the COVID-19 world since the very beginning. From the time countries first started shutting down, to the reopening of nations around the world.
Traveling right now is just about as hard as its going to get. Everyone is ‘waiting' for the vaccine to solve all our travel problems but let me tell you this right now.
International travel is going to continue to be complicated right through 2021.
Countries started reopening their borders just over 3 months ago with the first being Mexico to welcome all countries with no COVID-19 entry requirements.
At first, travel in a COVID-19 world appeared like it was going to be easy but we quickly learned that was the furthest thing from the truth.
From invasive PCR swab tests, permitted country lists that change weekly and 14 day quarantines, travelers are completely overwhelmed with just the thought of going on vacation abroad.
Many travelers have said they are waiting for the COVID-19 vaccine that is going to magically eliminate all these entry requirements and bring travel back to normal.
Maybe one day it will, but it definitely wont be in 2021
Why The COVID-19 Vaccine Won't Eliminate Entry Requirements…Yet
If a vaccine does become available, vaccinating over 7 billion people is going to take time and there are strong indicators a large amount of the population won't even be willing to get it.
According to a recent NBC survey, less than half of Americans said they will get the COVID-19 vaccine.
That being said, nations will not take the blanket approach of making a proof of vaccination record (POVR) the only way to enter the country. For example, with the U.S. tourism market being one of the largest in the world, developing countries wont be willing to eliminate half of Americans from being able to visit.
Countries that already have strict COVID-19 entry requirements in place will just add a POVR as another way to enter the country rather than eliminate other entry requirements such as PCR swab tests and quarantines.
Nations are going to need tourism dollars more than ever and making a POVR the only way to enter a country would further hurt already devastated tourism based economies.
Rich countries have already secured hundreds of millions of doses of a potential vaccines from pharmaceutical companies.
This could mean countries like the Australia, Canada, UK and the United States could begin vaccinating their population in 2021 but again, that will take time. With so many people not willing to get the vaccine at all, travel is still going to be very disrupted right through 2021.
Wealthy nations could enforce a POVR as the only permitted entry requirement for tourism, however this is highly unlikely until a vaccine is widely available to the general public.
For 2021 multiple types of COVID-19 entry requirements are here to stay and they are going to be constantly changing throughout the year.
Travel isn't about to get any easier and it could get even more confusing than it is now.
The vaccine could make it easier for some travelers by late 2021 as more countries adopt a POVR as a permitted replacement for a COVID-19 PCR test or quarantines.
To get the most of the world population vaccinated and have a globally recognized proof of vaccination record (POVR) in place is highly unlikely in 2021.
Whether its right or wrong, some countries can see that travelers are frustrated and are reopening their borders with little or no COVID-19 entry requirements.
In a recent move, the Dominican Republic removed their mandatory PCR swab test requirement. In place they will randomly select travelers for a new COVID-19 ‘breath test'.
One would think that easy COVID-19 entry requirements would scare travelers away due to the possibility of a higher chance of infection.
Proof is in the numbers that hasn't been the case. Cancun experienced over 70,000 visitors in its first 30 days after reopening for tourism with no testing or quarantines.
One thing's for sure. Those that love to travel will continue to do so with or without a vaccination.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.
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